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JLL sees more falls over next half year but rest of market should stay stable

The surging rents in prime areas that have had expatriates screaming for the best part of a year look to be easing, with some condos already registering falls of up to 12 per cent.
The declines are expected to intensify over the next three to six months, reversing a trend that saw some rents double or treble during the property peak last year.

Consultant Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL) said increased supply from newly built condominiums and a weakening economy are behind the projected prime rent slide, although rents in other parts of Singapore should stay largely stable.

Expats have also been voting with their feet and abandoning pricey prime areas and moving to fringe locations - and nudging rents there up a little in the process, said Dr Chua Yang Liang, the firm’s head of research (South-East Asia).

Rents in the East Coast area, for example, rose 1.4 per cent in the first quarter but are now tipped to grow at a slower pace or even stay unchanged.

This is in contrast to prime areas, where landlords are feeling the chill of the new economic headwinds.

For instance, at Cuscaden Residences in the Tanglin area, rentals have fallen 12 per cent, from $6.20 per sq ft (psf) a month in the fourth quarter of last year to $5.46 psf in the first quarter of this year, said JLL.

A 1,485 sq ft unit will now fetch about $8,100, down from $9,200 at the end of last year.

Over at Tanglin Park, rentals have fallen 3.1 per cent from $5.21 psf to $5.05 psf.

Islandwide, supply started creeping up from the third quarter of last year, said Dr Chua.

But not all owners are yet willing to lower their expectations, said market watchers.

‘The rental market is a lot slower than last year,’ said Ms Kavita Borglin, an agent with Premiere Realty, who said rents in prime areas will be hit by new supply, particularly smaller units.

‘The availability of one- to three-bedroom apartments has increased so rents have softened,’ she said.

At Robertson 100 in Robertson Quay, at least 10 two-bedroom flats are on the market but the owners were all reluctant to lower their asking rents of $5,000 to $6,000, she said.

Ms Borglin’s client, an expat with a rental budget of $4,500, eventually settled for a Newton area apartment.

She added that owners with large apartments of four bedrooms or more could still keep the same rents, as such large flats are still hard to come by.

JLL said Singapore’s rating as the 13th most expensive Asian city for expats, coupled with a slower hiring pace in the coming months, may lead to fewer leasing deals over the remainder of the year.

A lacklustre collective sale market and weakening housing prices will continue to hit sentiment in the non-landed rental home market, said Dr Chua.

Meanwhile, JLL said in a statement yesterday that it has put Goldhill Centre near Novena MRT station up for sale. The indicative price for the freehold commercial site is $315 million.

Source : Straits Times - 10 Jul 2008

Positive consumer sentiment and the Great Singapore Sale have provided some support for the retail property market in Singapore, according to property consultants DTZ.

It said given the general uncertain global outlook, tenants have resisted committing to higher rents, and this has kept the retail sector stable during the second quarter.

Going forward, analysts said they see at most a marginal increase of 2 to 3 per cent in rents for the rest of this year.

313@Somerset is part of the new wave of malls making a splash in Orchard Road. All together, some 5.4 million square feet of new retail space will be available by 2012.

Analysts said these new malls will lead the retail property rental market, while older ones will see rents stabilise at current levels, with little upside.

Donald Han, Managing Director, Cushman & Wakefield, said: “The new malls are looking at rentals higher than existing malls at Orchard Road. They’re looking at anything from 20-30 per cent higher. Prime retail space is always in demand.”

Cushman & Wakefield noted that there is little risk of oversupply as international retailers clamour for a piece of the Singapore market.

And although inflation may dampen domestic consumer spending, analysts said external demand from strong tourist arrivals is likely to offset that.

Mr Han said: “Into the next six months with the F1 arriving in September, we’ll only see a higher number of tourists on shore, which will effectively see higher tourism receipts, (a) positive spillover in spite of high inflation numbers over the next six months or so.”

With more malls fighting over the same tourism dollar, analysts said malls are starting to work harder to attract customers.

Turner Canning, Associate Director, Retail Consulting, Cushman & Wakefield, said: “(There is) a lot of criticism (that)… a lot of malls are cookie cutter, (with) similar shops, just in different configurations. You’re going to see that changing. It’s a global trend that malls are becoming more themed.”

Bringing in new retail choices is also another trend.

Chua Chor Hoon, Senior Director, Research, DTZ, said: “We notice that there are more new second-line brands coming, like Just Cavalli, which is a second line to Robert Cavalli. Emporio Armani is also coming. There are also more luxury brands from Europe coming here.”

This is in line with efforts by the Singapore Tourism Board to rejuvenate Orchard Road, turning it into one of the world’s premier shopping belts.

Analysts also said there is no fear that the Orchard belt will cannibalise suburban malls, as they serve different markets.

Ms Chua said: “The suburban malls… are in the heartlands, near residents. (They are) easily accessible. They serve residents’ daily needs, like groceries, daily wear necessities, personal services. These are complementary. In fact, the rentals in suburban malls can be as high as those in Orchard.” - CNA/ms

Source : Channel NewsAsia - 4 Jul 2008

They could hold firm despite gloom elsewhere and offer decent yields

Close to 300 homes at Sentosa Cove, including 200 condominium units, have received Temporary Occupation Permit (TOP) and the exclusive enclave is starting to bustle.

DTZ Debenham Tie Leung, which is the property manager of the 200-unit The Berth by the Cove says that the development is now about 70 per cent tenanted.

It added that the remaining units of the fully-sold development are owner-occupied, some of which are weekend homes or holiday homes for foreigners.

Other developments that have received TOP include The Berthside, Ocean 8, The Villas @ Sentosa Cove, Coral Island and North Cove.

Expected to come onto the leasing market next is the 116-unit The Azure, which is also fully sold.

And the popularity of The Berth by the Cove with the leasing market bodes well for the remaining 2,200 homes that are still being constructed.

DTZ senior director (research) Chua Chor Hoon said that the supply of new homes in Sentosa Cove is still ‘limited’ compared to the rest of Singapore and the units have ‘the unique feature of close proximity to the sea’.

Saying that the limited supply of units in Sentosa Cove will limit any downward pressure on rentals, Ms Chua added: ‘Rental prospects are likely to be better.’

This upbeat outlook for Sentosa Cove is particularly pertinent at a time when new housing supply is expected to flood the rental market by next year.

In a recent report, DTZ noted that in general, rentals would come under pressure between 2009 and 2011, not just from new supply but from the sub-sale market as well as it is unlikely that speculators will want to hold units for low rental income.

DTZ said that based on its basket of non-landed properties in the prime district (excluding luxury properties) average monthly rents are currently still holding steady at $4.90 psf per month.

While DTZ did not reveal rentals at The Berth by the Cove, a check with SISV-Realink shows that the rental for a unit there contracted for $19,500 per month in May.

Colliers International also said it believes median rentals could be around $6 psf per month.

Colliers director (research and advisory) Tay Huey Ying added that based on the average launch price of The Berth by the Cove of about $860 psf in 2004/2005, investors who bought units at this price could now be enjoying a net rental yield of about 5.5 per cent.

Those that bought units from the secondary market later when the price rose to about $1,500 psf will be looking at a net rental yield of 3.5 per cent.

‘Nevertheless, these investors would still be enjoying a higher net rental return compared to those who invested in a freehold luxury apartment on the main island of Singapore in recent times since the latter are generating average net rental returns estimated to be in the region of 2.3 per cent,’ added Ms Tay.

In time over 1,700 condominiums will be completed. Savills Singapore director (marketing and business development) Ku Swee Yong believes that buyers for most of these units will be investors, suggesting that a majority will be put up for lease.

Still, he said that there is a niche market for this type of waterfront home. ‘We had an expat client who was looking to rent and after showing him a few options, he chose The Berth because he already has a yacht,’ reveals Mr Ku.

Interestingly, Mr Ku says the advent of the integrated resort on Sentosa may not necessarily guarantee a pool of tenants. ‘Not everyone will want to live so close to work,’ he added.

What he does believe is crucial to the success of Sentosa Cove as an exclusive enclave is the provision of high end amenities. He added: ‘Once these are completed, we believe Sentosa Cove rents could demand a premium over Orchard Road.’

Source : Business Times - 03 Jul 2008

Construction not putting tenants off

Sentosa Cove is slowly, but surely, attracting high-end tenants with the completion of an estimated 300 homes, including the 200-unit The Berth by the Cove condominium.

Despite ugly construction sites dotting many parts of Sentosa, the first luxury condo units and landed properties have drawn rents comparable to, if not higher than those in prime districts on the mainland, including Nassim Park and Grange Residences.

Colliers International has just completed its first rental survey of Sentosa Cove and says two-bedroom condos are fetching an average $5,350 a month, or $4.61 per square foot (psf).

Larger, four-bedroom units have rented for an average $10,625, which also equates to $4.61psf. However, one rented for $12,250.

As for landed homes, terrace houses ranging in size from 2,600 to 3,600 square feet have let for an average $15,333, or $5.19psf, while the first luxury bungalows ranging in size from 2,530 to 4,983 sq ft have been let for an average $24,000. The highest rental to date is $30,000.

“This is encouraging, given that so much construction is going on,” said Tay Huey Ying, Colliers director of research and advisory. “When fully-developed, it should be even more appealing to potential tenants.”

The idea of developing the 117-hectare cove into a waterfront enclave was first mooted in the ’80s. However, the first land parcel was only sold to the private sector in end-2003. Five years on, temporary occupation permits have been granted to just the first five small developments completed, with Ho Bee Group’ 200-unit The Berth being by far the largest.

More is to come, with land already sold capable of accommodating over 2,000 condo units and 400 bungalows or terrace homes.

Colliers said investors who bought units in The Berth at the end of 2004 or early 2005 and have held onto them are today enjoying attractive net rental yields of 5.5 per cent. Purchase prices have since surged. As such, Colliers said those who entered the market later in 2007 now have to contend with lower yields averaging at 3.5 per cent.

Prices of non-landed homes have shot up from an initial launch price of $785 per sq ft in November 2004 for The Berth to current $2,800psf for Lippo Group’s The Marina Collection.

Source : Today - 3 Jul 2008

The leasing market in Sentosa Cove is starting to pick up, as more units are ready for occupation, according to property consultants Colliers International.

With some 300 units at Sentosa Cove having temporary occupation permits, Colliers said the leasing market could be starting to take shape.

Numbers from the Urban Redevelopment Authority showed that some 51 leasing contracts were recorded for homes there between January last year and April 2008. Forty-six of those went to The Berth by the Cove.

Some 99.6 per cent of land parcels for sale in Sentosa Cove has been taken up by private developers and individuals - in all yielding more than 2,000 condominium units, and 400 bungalows and terrace houses.

Contracted monthly gross rents are believed to range from S$4,700 for a two-bedroom unit to as high as S$12,250 for a four-bedroom unit in a condominium development.

Landed homes are believed to command between S$12,000 and S$30,000 per unit. - CNA/ms

Source : Channel NewsAsia - 2 Jul 2008